LIR 493:
Quantitative Methods
Professor Wallace Hendricks


COPE Ratings and Interaction

COPE ratings are ratings of congressional votes. A high COPE rating indicates prolabor votes. Each observation is a member of congress. Suppose that you want to determine if COPE ratings vary by political party and by region of the country. You also want to test for an interaction between region and party.

Assume two variables: PARTY & REGION

Here's a table of the means in the raw data:

COPE Rating Example

Region/Party Democrat Republican Mean/number
North 100 80 90
  n=20 n=20 n=40
South 20 30 25
  n=20 n=20 n=40
West 90 40 65
  n=20 n=20 n=40
Mean 70 50  
number n=60 n=60  

Between Row SS

=

=

=

=

Between Column SS

=

=

=

=

Between Subclass SS

=

=

=

Interaction
  =
  =
 
=


Here's the results of an SPSS analysis of variance on the data:

SPSSWIN PRINTOUT

Source of Variation SS DF MS F Sig of F
WITHIN + RESIDUAL 171,000 114 1500    
PARTY 12,000 1 12000 9.0 .001
REGION 86,000 2 43000 28.7 .000
PARTY BY REGION 18,000 2 9000 6.0 .005
(Model) 116,000 5      
(Total) 287,000 119      
R-Squared = .400        
Adjusted R-Squared = .370        

Here is the results of analyzing the identical data in EXCEL, along with a graph of the results that clearly shows and interaction effect. Do you know why an interaction is indicated?

Graph of Interaction Effects

Anova: Two-Factor With Replication          
           
SUMMARY Democrat Republican Total    
North          
Count 20.0 20.0 40.0    
Sum 2000.0 1600.0 3600.0    
Average 100.0 80.0 90.0    
Variance 1783.9 2628.6 2252.3    
           
South          
Count 20.0 20.0 40.0    
Sum 400.0 600.0 1000.0    
Average 20.0 30.0 25.0    
Variance 782.2 994.9 891.4    
           
West          
Count 20.0 20.0 40.0    
Sum 1800.0 800.0 2600.0    
Average 90.0 40.0 65.0    
Variance 1510.9 1292.9 2007.0    
           
Total          
Count 60.0 60.0      
Sum 4200.0 3000.0      
Average 70.0 50.0      
Variance 2601.1 2057.9      
           
           
ANOVA          
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value
Sample 86000.0 2.0 43000.0 28.7 0.0
Columns 12000.0 1.0 12000.0 8.0 0.0
Interaction 18000.0 2.0 9000.0 6.0 0.0
Within 170878.0 114.0 1498.9    
           
Total 286878.0 119.0      

If there was no interaction the lines would be parallel with each other.(return)